Markets recover from hot CPI, as markets price in 4 market cuts in FY2024

Markets recover from hot CPI, as markets price in 4 market cuts in FY2024

Daily in Portfolio Management
On Wednesday, markets bounced back from the sharp decline that happened on Tuesday. S&P 500 increased by 0.96% to close at 5,000.62. Nasdaq advanced 1.3% to close at 15,859.15 while Dow Jones climbed 0.4% closing at 38,424.27 The latest consumer price index made public on Tuesday was hotter than expected. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, CPI showed that the prices rose by 3.1% for the 12 months ended in January. Markets were anticipating a 2.9% increase. The inflation data reported diminished investors’ rate cut expectations in March. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, after the data reported,the rate cut probability in March decreased to 10%, this data recently was showing a 60% probability of a rate cut in March. In conclusion, markets experienced the worst sell-off since March…
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Global Outlook 2024

Global Outlook 2024

Educational in Portfolio Management, Markets
Throughout 2023, the global economy has demonstrated greater resilience than expected, despite significant monetary tightening and persistent global political uncertainty.  While economic growth has generally exceeded expectations, this apparent robustness hides short-term risks and structural vulnerabilities. Against a backdrop of high debt levels, rising financing costs, low levels of investment, weak global trade and growing geopolitical risks, the outlook indicates that the global economy will grow at a below-average pace in 2024 and 2025. Forecasts indicate a slowdown in global growth from an estimated 2.7% in 2023 to 2.4% in 2024.  While there is a moderate improvement with growth expected to be 2.7% in 2025, this will remain below the rate of pre-pandemic growth of 3.0%.  After a rapid surge that lasted almost two years, global inflation fell significantly in…
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Nvidia just overcame Amazon’s market cap, as Walmart leaps toward new acquisition

Nvidia just overcame Amazon’s market cap, as Walmart leaps toward new acquisition

Daily in Portfolio Management
Despite its market trend characterized by a decrease of its share price of 0.17% by 4:00 PM  EST, today portfolio holding Nvidia (NVDA) (purchased 0.24 units @ $472.38) was able to  achieve an exciting achievement, reaching a market capitalization higher than Amazon.  In fact, while Nvidia’s total value was equal to $1.78 trillion, the Seattle based company did not go beyond $1.75 trillion, after Amazon’s share price dropped by 2.15% by 16:00 EST. One of the main reasons behind this incredible achievement is the fact that, as more tech  companies are trying to insert AI into their products, large firms like Meta Platforms recently  concluded acquisitions of Nvidia’s components for billions of dollars. Unfortunately, Nvidia was not able to replicate this performance against Alphabet. In fact, the firm owning Google …
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Aramco’s renewable renaissance: Saudi Arabia’s green transition.

Aramco’s renewable renaissance: Saudi Arabia’s green transition.

Daily in Portfolio Management
Saudi Arabia's state-controlled oil giant, Aramco, announced on Monday the suspension of its capacity expansion plans, citing the ongoing green transition: Energy Minister Abdulaziz bin Salman emphasized that the future of energy security lies in renewables, signaling a significant shift in the kingdom's energy strategy. The decision to postpone Aramco's capacity investment, which aimed to increase crude production from 12 to 13 million barrels per day by 2027, reflects Saudi Arabia's acknowledgment of the changing global energy landscape; the directive, issued by the Saudi energy ministry, underscores the kingdom's commitment in adapting to evolving market conditions and prioritize sustainable energy sources. In his remarks at the International Petroleum Technology Conference in Dhahran, Minister Abdulaziz bin Salman highlighted Aramco's evolution from an oil company to an energy company, with investments spanning…
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EU Adopts Flexibility in Fiscal Rules to Drive Investment and Address Modern Challenges

EU Adopts Flexibility in Fiscal Rules to Drive Investment and Address Modern Challenges

Daily in Portfolio Management
The European Union (EU) has reached a preliminary agreement to relax its strict fiscal regulations, offering member states greater flexibility in managing debt while incentivizing investments in key areas such as climate action, industrial development, and security. The revision of the Stability and Growth Pact, in response to unprecedented debt levels amid pandemic recovery efforts and ambitious EU goals, aims to adapt to contemporary economic and geopolitical realities. Under the new rules, minimum deficit and debt reduction targets are adjusted to be less stringent, providing clarity and predictability for member states' fiscal policies. European Commission Vice-President Valdis Dombrovskis highlighted the importance of these rules in enhancing the sustainability of public finances and promoting sustainable growth through investment incentives. MEP Margarida Marques emphasized the shift towards a case-by-case and medium-term approach,…
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Markets rise following lower inflation reading

Markets rise following lower inflation reading

Daily in Portfolio Management
Feb 9th, 2024 - On Friday, stocks rose thanks to December’s revised inflation reading coming in lower than what was reported in the beginning, according to closely watched revisions made by the government.  As an evidence of this, the S&P 500 closed above 5000 for the first time ever at 5026.61 (+ 0.57%). The Nasdaq was up by 1.25%, while the Dow Jones registered a -0.14% performance.  Expedia shares tumbled after releasing its quarterly earnings report on Thursday after the market closed. The earnings and sales did beat though analysts’ expectations, but bookings were worse than expected. The online travel company posted an adjusted EPS of $1.72, that was better than the $1.68 EPS that analysts forecasted. Revenue of $2.89 billion in the period increased 10% compared to last year…
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S&P 500 achieves 5000 point level, as Ralph Lauren shares pop following upbeat report 

S&P 500 achieves 5000 point level, as Ralph Lauren shares pop following upbeat report 

Daily in Portfolio Management
Feb 8th, 2024 - The S&P 500 reached the milestone of 5000 points during the day but closed at 4,997.91 with a growth of 0,06%, also the Dow Jones grew by a little, rising about 0.13%, while the Nasdaq gained 0,24%. Shares of online payments giant Adyen (ADYEN) soared on Thursday after the company reported an important growth in sales growth and better-than-expected profit for 2023. The company competes with Stripe, Paypal and announced to its shareholders that it had slowed its pace in the hiring process to counter concerns that it was spending too much on expansion of the team. Shares at the end of the day were up 20,16%. (R.Browne) Disney shares (DIS) grew 12% on Thursday, headed for the best day for the stock since December 2020,…
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Walt Disney rises following cost cut announcements, whilst Arm skyrockets after earnings release

Walt Disney rises following cost cut announcements, whilst Arm skyrockets after earnings release

Daily in Portfolio Management
Feb 7th, 2024 - On Wednesday, the S&P500 increased by 0.82% to close at 4995,06. Dow Jones and Nasdaq also increased by 0.4% and 0.95% to finish at 38.677,36 and 15.756,64 respectively. After markets closed, Walt Disney (DIS) announced their first-quarter earnings that topped estimates. Estimated earnings per share was $0.99 while the actual amount was $1.22. Another piece of good news was that the company expects to cut costs by at least $7.5 billion by the end of 2024. Moreover, they declared $4.60 forecasted earnings per share for 2024 which is 20% higher than 2023. Investors also appreciated their plan to take a $1.5 billion stake in Epic Games and to start their ESPN streaming service in fall 2025. The share price of Disney increased by 7% just after…
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Snap fails to meet expectations, whilst a powerful sports alliance is born

Snap fails to meet expectations, whilst a powerful sports alliance is born

Daily in Portfolio Management
Feb 6th, 2024 - Today, Snap Inc. (SNAP) saw its shares’ price plummeting down by around 30% at 5:00 PM EST because of the huge discrepancy between Snap’s quarterly revenue estimates produced by Wall Street  analysts and the results disclosed by the company itself on Tuesday. Going into detail, while the  forecasted revenue was $1.38 billion, the actual financial result disclosed by Snap was equal to $1.36 billion, on the basis of LSEG data. In this adverse context, Snap still struggles to compete against its  main rivals in the digital advertising industry like Meta and Alphabet. This is mainly due to the fact that  they are better at targeting ads (thanks to the vast amount of data they can rely on) and the recent large job cuts, reducing their costs…
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McDonald’s and Starbucks sales hit by Israel – Hamas conflict

McDonald’s and Starbucks sales hit by Israel – Hamas conflict

Daily in Portfolio Management
Feb 5th, 2024 - In a recent turn of events, global fast-food giants McDonald's and Starbucks have faced a notable setback in their sales directly attributed to the ongoing Israel-Hamas conflict; both companies reported a dip in their stock values, reflecting the economic repercussions of said geopolitical tensions. McDonald's, witnessing a nearly 4% drop in its stock on Monday, pointed to a sales slowdown in the Middle East during the fourth quarter of the previous year. This decline was particularly pronounced in Israel, where the fast-food giant's Israeli licensee offered discounts to soldiers, triggering customer boycotts from those opposed to the Gaza offensive. While the Middle East represents around 2% of McDonald's global sales, the impact has been significant enough to prompt concerns about the recovery of sales in the…
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